Official Betting Thread

[Yung bawse]

Hope you had a nice stake on after all that confidence

[Uncle Man]

nice enough

 

was ready to die in the last 100 yds

[Uncle Man]

disappointed by thistle bird

 

thank you duntle

[Uncle Man]

unbelievable run by ladys first

[mark_INIESTA_davies]

Jersey Stakes 2.30 Royal Ascot Group 3 (3 y o) 7 furlongs

 

Garswood comes into the race as the favourite due to winning a 7f listed race in which he beat some ok horses, none of them really group contenders. Never got involved in the 2000 Guineas over an extra furlong and now drops back in trip. Should be thereabouts but not for me, too many other contenders in this not least the french contingent, headed by Mutin an improver who has won his 4 starts so far, beating San Marino Grey twice by less than a length, a horse who went on to finish a length 2nd to Anodin in a G3 race in France, therefore hes entitled to be up to this level.

 

There are a few interesting french formlines, although over a mile, the Group 1 Poule desai de Poulains featured a few of these, Pearl Flute finished 14th, Gale Force Ten finished 4th, which is probably the best single piece of form going in this race. Anodin finished 7th in the race, so for me that puts Gale Force Ten ahead of Mutin for this race, given that OBrien will probly have him fired up for this one. Third in that race was Intello, one of the best horses of this current generation, who was unlucky in this race but went on to win a Group 1 race over 11f in impressive fashion. Quite clearly a versatile class horse, he can be taken as a benchmark of quality form over a range of distances. Gale Force Tens finish in close proximity to Intello is a huge positive.

 

However the winner of that race was Style Vendome, a horse who has form tying in with a few of these. His 3 previous races had been over todays trip of 7f. In one of these he beat San Marino Grey by about 3 lengths. To me this equates to beating Mutin by roughly the same distance, give a length for improvement on Mutins behalf, so 2 lengths. In Style Vendomes next race he beat The Brothers War by 1 3/4 lengths in a listed race. Complimentor was in between the pair, and The Brothers War went on to beat Complimentor by 1 3/4 lengths in a listed race over 6f. Had that race been over 7f i would be very excited about The Brothers Wars chances today, but as it stands its not a big deal either way. The race with Style Vendome puts The Brothers War bang there with Mutin and at a bigger price. The stables second string, he has Olivier Peslier on board, about which my opinion is neutral.

 

Hes been a consistent performer so far against some decent rivals and the other reason he interests me is because he is a son of War Front, a sire who has had two winners at Royal Ascot already in the shape of War Command and Declaration of War. Im going to interpret this as War Fronts progeny are feeling Ascot right now and im happy to back The Brothers War at 14/1 e/w. I believe Gale Force Ten and Mutin can also be involved and i will also be supporting those, and this is the tricast for me. Mutin and Gale Force Ten can go in a reverse Forecast.

 

Good write up mate, managed to read it at lunch earlier

[mark_INIESTA_davies]

I've had £425 on Brazen in the 9:10 at Kempton at 5/1 on BET365.

 

Price won't last long this evening, should cut up to around 7/2 possibly 5/2.

[Gambino]

Stuck that on a treble with Boston Blue and Labienus.

[Gambino]

SMH Picked the wrong option out of Arashi and Boston Blue.

[Yung bawse]

Have you really got 4 bills on the 9.10 tulse? Got some bollocks of you have, fair play

[Gambino]

Tulse is laughing right now.

[macz]

im such a c*nt!!

 

thought I put a score on Brazen, turns out somehow I put it on Agerzam

 

fumin

 

props to tulse though

[mark_INIESTA_davies]

Like I said, I only bet those stakes when I am 110% and  get the nod.

 

Throw away too many scores e/w etc every day but when my moneys down on a good thing get on.

 

Friday we have 1.

[Yung bawse]

Fair play lad im speechless

Put it in my yankee when you tipped.. Got rizeena 6/1 win.. If so placed @ 12s and Brazen won at 4/s and 1 loss.. Got 4 times my stake so cant complain

[Nidge Weasle]

Tulse you legend. Wacked 50 on brazen earlier

[mark_INIESTA_davies]

Anyway cheers lads, I will update the tipping thread after the Bra/Mexico game.

 

If it makes you feel any better Gambino, I had the exact same treble as you, I thought Boston Blue was the horse as well.

[Uncle Man]

nice one tulse

[Bobby Reds]

Tulse you fucking beauty!!!

[Yung bawse]

Tetbury got tipped up last minute on william hill radio @ 5/2 so banged half of the returns from my EW yankee

Stake 52.50.. Returns £183.75

Made my evening tbh expected to break even today

[Gambino]

We need a VIP2 Built Accumilator for Ascot tomorrow.

[Haze-e]

Big up Tulse the fucking legend. Had 150ew on it

[Yoshie]

Well done tulse!

[mark_INIESTA_davies]

@Yoshie, Cheers bro!

 

We need a VIP2 Built Accumilator for Ascot tomorrow.

 

Yep, maybe even a tilt at the Scoop 6 if you're interested?

 

What do you guys fancy then?

[Gambino]

I say designate 6 guys a race each to look at and pick one out like that. I've not looked at them yet but I think we can see my picks this week have been fucking useless apart from me getting on the last at todays Ascot.

[mark_INIESTA_davies]

I say designate 6 guys a race each to look at and pick one out like that. I've not looked at them yet but I think we can see my picks this week have been f*cking useless apart from me getting on the last at todays Ascot.

 

It's not that your useless mate its that every race needs a different perspective.

 

I can tell you, from personal experience, that if you go into a Gr.2 over 5f with the same form method as a 0-70 over 8f you'll forever be a loser in the betting sense and it took me a while to adapt as well as learn.

 

I'm not sure whether you guys record your bets (I don't) but if you know what sort of races you perform better in then it's important that we know so you can go into studying the right races.

[Gambino]

Yea I'm not really clued up to know what to be looking for but I will go out my way to check the trends, previous ratings, TS and RPR etc. Sometimes I think that just fucks me up though and puts me off original choices I make. Plus compared to how I followed the racing a few years back in Black Jack days etc I'm very out of touch with the runners now.